The Real League One Table

[Zeus]

Bit early for this old TFF staple? Apologies if so and if anybody else fancied doing this, but I've mocked up a 'real' league table in terms of points on board and targets as we used to see towards the business end of the season on TFF.

I'll hopefully be able to update this between each round of matches. Feel free to ask how certain targets etc have been calculated. Obviously the 'guaranteed' totals are a bit silly at this point in time, but they'll come down soon enough.

The Real League One Table 2014/15
(+, - indicate how many games played with respect to the norm, which is 29 on 12/2/15)
109 – Guaranteed Champions
108 – Guaranteed Promotion
...
103 – Champions 2014
102
101 – Champions 2012
100 – Predicted Champions 2015
99
98
97
96
95 – Champions 2010, 2011
94 – Guaranteed Play-Offs; Promotion 2014
93 – Promotion 2012
92 – Promotion 2011
91
90 - Predicted Promotion 2015
89
88
87
86 – Promotion 2010
85
84 – Champions 2013
83 – Promotion 2013
82 – Play-Offs 2010
81
80 – Guaranteed Safety
79
78
77
76
75
74 – Play-Offs 2013, 2014
73 – Play-Offs 2012
72
71 – Play-Offs 2011
70
69
68 – Predicted Play-Offs 2015
67
66
65
64
63
62
61 – Bristol City (-1)
60
59
58
57 – Swindon Town
56 – MK Dons
55
54
53 – Preston North End
52
51 – Safety 2010, 2013
50 – Safety 2012, 2014
49 - Predicted Safety 2015
48 – Safety 2011
47
46
45
44
43 – Oldham Athletic
42 – Sheffield United (-2), Chesterfield
41 – Bradford City (-1), Fleetwood Town (+1)
40 – Walsall
39 – Doncaster Rovers (-1)
38 – Rochdale (-2), Peterborough United, Notts County, Gillingham (+1)
37
36 – Port Vale (+1)
35 – Barnsley, Crewe Alexandra
34 – Scunthorpe United (-2)
33
32 – Coventry City (+1)
31
30
29
28 – Colchester United, Yeovil Town (+1)
27 – Crawley Town (+1)
26 – Leyton Orient (-1)

 

[markwwfc1992]

I wonder if our 103 point season record will be broken

 

[old parkender]

I reckon it will be a while yet!!!

 

[Ciderup]

Well played Zeus, that's always a decent guide.

I wonder if our 103 point season record will be broken

I don't think so TBH Mark. We are on course for 100 but I don't think we'll make 3 figures.

 

[hodge]

We'd need to average just under 2.4 points per game for the rest of the season to get 104 so think the record is safe.

 

[Bobbin']

I wonder if our 103 point season record will be broken

Can't believe our record only lasted 2 years!

 

[PuB]

Good work there Zeus!

 

[Luke_ciderhead]

Which jammy buggers won the league on 84 points in 2013?? All of the top four will get more than that this season.

I wonder if our 103 point season record will be broken

Not a chance. I reckon this years champions will finish somewhere in the mid 90s.

 

[hodge]

Which jammy buggers won the league on 84 points in 2013?? All of the top four will get more than that this season.



Not a chance. I reckon this years champions will finish somewhere in the mid 90s.

Donny?

 

[Alex_BCFC]

7 points in final 18 games for the play-offs eh.

 

[TomPNE94]

Which jammy buggers won the league on 84 points in 2013?? All of the top four will get more than that this season.

The top 5 all got more last season

 

[TomPNE94]

Anyway, we are safe

 

[TimeyWimey]

When you put it like that, I simply can't see us not getting at least another 14 points. I think it'd take some rotten luck with injuries (Tate, Ness, Ajose) or a complete collapse that would be enough to see Steve Davis sent packing in May.

 

[LuSiVe]

I think I'm finally ready to declare we're not going down

 

[Bottega Don]

Good work this Zeus, always loved this.

15 points off predicted safety, hopefully we can do this.

 

[SF_]

That Doncaster team was fucking gash as well, just a shame everyone else were worse.

Bournemouth were cack for half a season as well.

 

[Luke_ciderhead]

That Doncaster team was fucking gash as well, just a shame everyone else were worse.

Bournemouth were cack for half a season as well.

Seemed to be a really weak league that year.

 

[Heisenberg20]

I remember watching Yeovil vs Swindon on SkySports in the 12/13 season and thinking that the standard was shocking for two teams in the top 6. There is no doubt that the standard has improved in the last two seasons.

 

[Indian Dan]

Seemed to be a really weak league that year.

Let's be honest, it's not great this year if 3/4 teams can pull so far away mid-season.

I hope us at the top end aren't kidding ourselves as to our true ability

 

[Cashis]

Let's be honest, it's not great this year if 3/4 teams can pull so far away mid-season.

I hope us at the top end aren't kidding ourselves as to our true ability

Plot twist; you're all shite

 

[Zeus]

The Real League One Table 2014/15
(+, - indicate how many games played with respect to the norm, which is 30 on 14/2/15)
106 – Guaranteed Champions
105 – Guaranteed Promotion
104
103 – Champions 2014
102
101 – Champions 2012
100
99
98
97 - Predicted Champions 2015
96
95 – Champions 2010, 2011
94 – Guaranteed Play-Offs; Promotion 2014
93 – Promotion 2012
92 – Promotion 2011
91
90
89
88
87 - Predicted Promotion 2015
86 – Promotion 2010
85
84 – Champions 2013
83 – Promotion 2013
82 – Play-Offs 2010
81
80 – Guaranteed Safety
79
78
77
76
75
74 – Play-Offs 2013, 2014
73 – Play-Offs 2012
72
71 – Play-Offs 2011
70
69
68
67
66 - Predicted Play-Offs 2015
65
64
63
62
61 – Bristol City (-1)
60
59
58
57 – Swindon Town
56 – MK Dons
55
54
53 – Preston North End (-1)
52
51 – Safety 2010, 2013
50 – Safety 2012, 2014
49 - Predicted Safety 2015
48 – Safety 2011
47
46
45 - Sheffield United (-2)
44
43 – Oldham Athletic
42 – Chesterfield, Doncaster Rovers (-1)
41 – Bradford City (-2), Peterborough United, Fleetwood Town (+1), Gillingham (+1)
40 – Walsall
39 – Port Vale (+1)
38 – Rochdale (-2), Notts County (-1), Crewe Alexandra
37 - Scunthorpe United (-2)
36 –
35 – Barnsley
34 –
33
32 – Coventry City (+1)
31 - Colchester United
30 - Crawley Town (+1)
29 - Leyton Orient (-1)
28 – Yeovil Town (+1)

 

[RavenBish]

How do you work out predicted safety Zeus ?

 

[LuSiVe]

And how the hell are we going to get the 7 points to get there?

 

[Zeus]

How do you work out predicted safety Zeus ?

The amount of points that the 20th placed team is currently on course to achieve, ie Coventry on 32 pts, played 30, so 32+(32/30)x16 is roughly 49.

There is an incorrect +1 by their name.*

 

[LuSiVe]

I think enough's still to happen that the safety points will be higher than that. Crap

 

[Zeus]

Update from the midweek games.

The Real League One Table 2014/15
(+, - indicate how many games played with respect to the norm, which is 31 on 17/2/15)
106 – Guaranteed Champions
105 – Guaranteed Promotion
104
103 – Champions 2014
102
101 – Champions 2012
100
99
98 - Predicted Champions 2015
97
96
95 – Champions 2010, 2011
94 – Guaranteed Play-Offs; Promotion 2014
93 – Promotion 2012
92 – Promotion 2011
91
90
89
88 - Predicted Promotion 2015
87
86 – Promotion 2010
85
84 – Champions 2013
83 – Promotion 2013
82 – Play-Offs 2010
81
80 – Guaranteed Safety
79
78
77
76
75
74 – Play-Offs 2013, 2014
73 – Play-Offs 2012
72
71 – Play-Offs 2011
70 - Predicted Play-Offs 2015
69
68
67
66
65
64 – Bristol City (-1)
63
62
61
60
59 – MK Dons
58
57 – Swindon Town (-1)
56
55
54
53 – Preston North End (-2)
52
51 – Safety 2010, 2013
50 – Safety 2012, 2014
49 - Predicted Safety 2015
48 – Safety 2011; Sheffield United (-2)
47
46
45 - Doncaster Rovers (-1)
44 - Bradford City (-2)
43 – Oldham Athletic (-1)
42 – Chesterfield
41 – Peterborough United, Fleetwood Town, Gillingham
40 – Walsall, Scunthorpe United (-2)
39 – Port Vale
38 – Rochdale (-3), Notts County (-1), Crewe Alexandra
37
36
35 – Barnsley (-1)
34
33
32 – Coventry City (-1)
31 - Colchester United
30 - Crawley Town
29 - Leyton Orient (-1)
28 – Yeovil Town

 

[Zeus]

The Real League One Table 2014/15
(+, - indicate how many games played with respect to the norm, which is 32 on 22/2/15)

105 – Guaranteed Champions; Guaranteed Promotion
104
103 – Champions 2014
102
101 – Champions 2012
100
99
98
97
96
95 – Champions 2010, 2011; Predicted Champions 2015
94 - Promotion 2014
93 – Promotion 2012
92 – Promotion 2011
91 - Guaranteed Play-Offs
90
89 - Predicted Promotion 2015
88
87
86 – Promotion 2010
85
84 – Champions 2013
83 – Promotion 2013
82 – Play-Offs 2010
81
80
79
78 - Guaranteed Safety
77
76
75
74 – Play-Offs 2013, 2014
73 – Play-Offs 2012
72
71 – Play-Offs 2011
70
69 - Predicted Play-Offs 2015
68
67
66
65
64 – Bristol City (-1)
63
62 – MK Dons
61
60
59
58
57 – Swindon Town (-1)
56 – Preston North End (-2)
55
54
53
52
51 – Safety 2010, 2013
50 – Safety 2012, 2014
49 - Sheffield United (-2); Predicted Safety 2015
48 – Safety 2011
47
46
45 - Bradford City (-2), Doncaster Rovers (-1)
44 - Fleetwood Town
43 – Oldham Athletic (-1)
42 – Chesterfield, Gillingham, Port Vale
41 – Rochdale (-3), Walsall, Peterborough United
40 – Scunthorpe United (-2)
39
38 – Notts County (-1), Barnsley (-1), Crewe Alexandra
37
36
35
34 - Colchester United
33 – Coventry City (-1), Crawley Town
32 - Leyton Orient (-1)
31
30
29 – Yeovil Town

Alas, we can now say with reasonable confidence that Sheff Utd will probably stay up.

 

[Zeus]

The Real League One Table 2014/15
(+, - indicate how many games played with respect to the norm, which is 32 on 22/2/15)

105 – Guaranteed Champions; Guaranteed Promotion
104
103 – Champions 2014
102
101 – Champions 2012
100
99
98
97
96 - Predicted Champions 2015
95 – Champions 2010, 2011
94 - Promotion 2014
93 – Promotion 2012
92 – Promotion 2011
91
90
89 - Predicted Promotion 2015
88 - Guaranteed Play-Offs
87
86 – Promotion 2010
85
84 – Champions 2013
83 – Promotion 2013
82 – Play-Offs 2010
81
80
79
78 - Guaranteed Safety
77
76
75
74 – Play-Offs 2013, 2014
73 – Play-Offs 2012
72
71 – Play-Offs 2011
70
69
68
67 – Bristol City; Predicted Play-Offs 2015
66
65
64
63
62 – MK Dons
61
60 – Swindon Town
59 – Preston North End (-1)
58
57
56
55
54
53
52 - Sheffield United (-1)
51 – Safety 2010, 2013
50 – Safety 2012, 2014
49 - Predicted Safety 2015
48 – Safety 2011
47
46
45 - Bradford City (-1), Doncaster Rovers
44 - Fleetwood Town
43 – Oldham Athletic (-1)
42 – Chesterfield, Gillingham, Port Vale
41 – Rochdale (-2), Walsall, Peterborough United, Barnsley
40 – Scunthorpe United (-1)
39
38 – Notts County (-1), Crewe Alexandra
37
36
35
34 - Colchester United
33 – Coventry City (-1), Crawley Town
32 - Leyton Orient (-1)
31
30
29 – Yeovil Town

Congratulations to Bristol City who have almost certainly secured a play-off place! Not bad for February.

 

[Zeus]

The Real League One Table 2014/15
(+, - indicate how many games played with respect to the norm, which is 33 on 28/2/15)

105 – Guaranteed Champions
104
103 – Champions 2014
102 - Guaranteed Promotion
101 – Champions 2012
100
99
98 - Predicted Champions 2015
97
96
95 – Champions 2010, 2011
94 - Promotion 2014
93 – Promotion 2012
92 – Promotion 2011
91
90
89 - Predicted Promotion 2015
88
87
86 – Promotion 2010
85 - Guaranteed Play-Offs
84 – Champions 2013
83 – Promotion 2013
82 – Play-Offs 2010
81
80
79
78 - Guaranteed Safety
77
76
75
74 – Play-Offs 2013, 2014
73 – Play-Offs 2012
72
71 – Play-Offs 2011
70 - Bristol City
69
68
67 – Predicted Play-Offs 2015
66
65
64
63
62 – MK Dons, Preston North End (-1)
61 – Swindon Town
60
59
58
57
56
55
54
53 - Sheffield United (-1)
52 - Predicted Safety 2015
51 – Safety 2010, 2013
50 – Safety 2012, 2014
49
48 – Doncaster Rovers; Safety 2011
47
46
45 – Chesterfield, Bradford City (-1), Port Vale
44 - Peterborough United, Fleetwood Town, Barnsley
43 – Oldham Athletic (-1)
42 – Gillingham
41 – Rochdale (-2), Walsall, Scunthorpe United (-1)
40
39 - Crewe Alexandra
38 – Notts County (-1)
37
36 - Coventry City (-1)
35 - Leyton Orient (-1)
34 - Colchester United, Crawley Town
33
32
31
30 – Yeovil Town

The continued good form of Cov & Orient has pushed up the safety barrier, leaving most of the league with plenty to do yet!

 

[Zeus]

The Real League One Table 2014/15
(+, - indicate how many games played with respect to the norm, which is 34 on 3/3/15)

109 – Maximum Attainable

…
103 –Champions 2014; Guaranteed Champions
102
101 – Champions 2012
100
99 – Guaranteed Promotion; Predicted Champions 2015
98
97
96
95 – Champions 2010, 2011
94 - Promotion 2014
93 – Promotion 2012
92 – Promotion 2011
91
90
89
88 – Predicted Promotion 2015
87
86 – Promotion 2010; Guaranteed Play-Offs
85
84 – Champions 2013
83 – Promotion 2013
82 – Play-Offs 2010
81
80
79
78
77
76
75 – Guaranteed Safety
74 – Play-Offs 2013, 2014
73 – Bristol City; Play-Offs 2012
72
71 – Play-Offs 2011
70
69
68
67 – Predicted Play-Offs 2015
66
65
64
63 – Preston North End (-1)
62 – MK Dons
61 – Swindon Town
60
59
58
57
56
55
54
53 – Sheffield United (-1)
52
51 – Safety 2010, 2013
50 – Safety 2012, 2014; Predicted Safety 2015
49 – Doncaster Rovers
48 – Chesterfield, Bradford City (-1); Safety 2011
47 – Peterborough United, Barnsley
46 – Oldham Athletic (-1)
45 – Gillingham, Port Vale, Fleetwood Town
44 – Rochdale (-2), Walsall
43
42 – Scunthorpe United (-1)
41 – Notts County (-1)
40
39 - Crewe Alexandra
38

37
36 – Coventry City (-1)
35 – Leyton Orient (-1)
34 – Colchester United, Crawley Town
33
32
31
30 – Yeovil Town

Bristol City open up a 10-point gap, while the safety line still hangs tantalisingly above Doncaster! I’m sure they’ll be anxious to get over that total asap.