The Real League Table - League Two

[Pilgrim Meister]

Ball is rolling already in the Non League section, so time for us to join the fun

104 - Guaranteed Champions
103
102
101
100
99
98 - Guaranteed Promotion
97
96
95
94
93 - Champions 2010, Champions 2012 : Guaranteed Playoffs
92 - Predicted Champions
91
90
89
88
87
86 - Champions 2011
85 - Predicted Promotion
84 - Champions 2014, Promotion 2012
83 - Champions 2013
82 - Promotion 2010
81 - Promotion 2014
80 - Promotion 2011
79
78 - Promotion 2013
77
76
75 - Predicted Playoffs
74
73 - Guaranteed Safety
72 - Playoffs 2010, Playoffs 2012
71 - Playoffs 2014
70
69 - Playoffs 2013
68 - Playoffs 2011
67
66
65
64 - Burton
63
62
61 - Shrewsbury
60
59 - Wycombe
58
57
56
55 - Luton
54 - Southend
53
52 - Plymouth, Bury
51 - Safety 2013
50 - Safety 2014 : Newport
49
48 - Safety 2010, Safety 2011 : Stevenage
47
46 - Safety 2012 : Predicted Safety
45
44 - Northampton, Morecambe, Wimbledon
43 - Exeter
42
41
40 - Portsmouth, Accrington
39
38
37 - Cambridge, Oxford, Dag & Red
36
35 - Mansfield
34 - Tranmere
33 - Carlisle
32 - York
31 - Cheltenham
30
29
28
27
26
25
24 - Hartlepool

Guaranteed positions are worked out as position below ( for top = 2nd place current points + maximum available points + 1)
Predicted is based on teams in current positions average.
Teams playing each other have not been taken into account

Have Hartlepool given up?

 

[daviejones]

They might as well.

 

[THE TERRACEMAN]

By that reckoning the Brewers need 7 wins from 14 games to gain promotion.
I would think that is very achievable with our current squad as we seem to be getting stronger as the season goes on.

 

[shoddycollins]

I reckon it'll take far more than 46 points to get safety this season. I base this on the fact that we are only five wins from reaching the predicted safety (technically four wins and a draw but we don't do draws)... I can certainly see us getting those five wins in the 14 games we have remaining, based on our recent form five or six wins... however the teams around us seem to be on the same sort of form, that cluster of teams around the relegation zone has been as tight as that for a while. So I predict that come the last week, Hartlepool will be gone, but Carlisle, Mansfield, York, Tranmere and possibly Cambridge will all have around 50-53 points and all will be to play for. Definitely think that unless someone (more likely Cheltenham than anyone else) totally crumbles, the team that finishes second-bottom will have more than 50.

 

[thewwfc]

I think the promotion points total will come down as well, as those gunning for promotion choke and drop points (us very much included in the choking bit).

 

[Pilgrim Meister]

It will all change in the coming weeks, can only go via the averages at the time

 

[LordJord]

Cant see it taking 75 points for the playoffs, as mentioned above, someone usually chokes!

 

[Murphy]

No way is predicted safety 46 points. 50 is always the mark you have to aim for anyway. I also think 70 will probably do you for the PO's as well.

 

[Pilgrim Meister]

I could pick Random figures, just going by average points

 

[BigDaveCUFC]

Saying that with the relegation total it can end up still being low.

Hartlepool at this rate won't get 40 points, they'd even now need some decent form to get 40 points so that can be ruled out.

it only needs one of that bottom clump of 5-6 teams to go on a horrendous winless run or say win only 1-2 games in the remaining lot (and that is not impossible considering they are all crap) and suddenly that relegation mark could be 38-40 points. Cheltenham for example have taken only 8 points from the last 14 matches with only 1 win, if they were to do the same in their last 14 games it would mean 39 points for them in total.

although I still always say aim for 50 points, its usually the safe-water mark and your unlucky if you go on that.

of course fixtures also start to come into play, York have played nearly all of the top 7 sides now, as will Carlisle after this weekend, Mansfield have 4 of the top 7 left to play and Dagenham have 5 of the top 7 left in their fixtures.

 

[AdamStag]

Well out of the sides still in what i'd consider likely to get dragged into it, form wise points from the last 6 games -

Cheltenham 2
Cambridge 2
York 5
Carlisle 6
Hartlepool 7
Mansfield 7
Oxford 8
Dagenham 11

 

[1884 Belmont]

Well out of the sides still in what i'd consider likely to get dragged into it, form wise points from the last 6 games -

Cheltenham 2
Cambridge 2
York 5
Carlisle 6
Hartlepool 7
Mansfield 7
Oxford 8
Dagenham 11

You appear to be missing us. 8 points from the last 6.

 

[AdamStag]

You appear to be missing us. 8 points from the last 6.

I did, nothing personal!

 

[mowgli]

No way is predicted safety 46 points. 50 is always the mark you have to aim for anyway. I also think 70 will probably do you for the PO's as well.

We set a target of 55 points to see us safe before the season started and we've hit that, it will be close this season with around 5 or 6 teams scrapping to stay up on the final day i reckon as it's so close right now.

 

[EricSabin]

25 points off the highest play off watermark

 

[Richard Cranium]

Can't see it being 50 points to stay up this season. Think high 60s might do it for the playoffs too

Hope you are right. Looking at our fixtures I think we will reach 50. Just noticed our of the current top 12, only Southend and Burton have beaten us at home this season. We've played 9 out of 12 at home too. With Cheltenham and Hartlepool still left to play away we really need to be picking some away points up there!

 

[EricSabin]

Although haven't you lost all your recent away games? Newport will be tough for you tonight

 

[womble76]

Bump, anyone want to update, I recon 49 or 50 points will be enough

 

[StagsForLife]

96 - Guaranteed Champions
95
94
93 - Champions 2010, Champions 2012
92 - Guaranteed Promotion
91 - Predicted Champions
90
89
88
87
86 - Champions 2011
85 - Predicted Promotion : Guaranteed Playoffs
84 - Champions 2014, Promotion 2012
83 - Champions 2013
82 - Promotion 2010
81 - Promotion 2014
80 - Promotion 2011
79
78 - Promotion 2013
77
76
75
74
73 - Burton
72 - Playoffs 2010, Playoffs 2012 : Predicted Playoffs
71 - Playoffs 2014
70
69 - Playoffs 2013
68 - Playoffs 2011 :Shrewsbury, Wycombe
67
66
65 - Guaranteed Safety
64 - Bury
63
62 - Southend
61
60
59
58 - Luton
57 - Stevenage, Newport
56 - Plymouth
55
54
53 - Northampton
52
51 - Safety 2013 : Exeter
50 - Safety 2014
49 - Portsmouth, Wimbledon
48 - Safety 2010, Safety 2011 : Morecambe
47
46 - Safety 2012 : Predicted Safety : Dag & Red
45 - Mansfield, Accrington
44
43 - Cambridge, Oxford
42
41
40 - Carlisle
39
38
37 - York, Tranmere, Cheltenham
36
35
34
33 - Hartlepool

 

[Stoney]

I think we will be fine now, Adam Murray has turned us into a very good home side recently. A win and a draw to take us to 49 points would see us near enough safe, whereas I think we will finish around 60 points.

Don't make me eat humble pie Mansfield!

 

[Richard Cranium]

60 points? You'll have had a very good end to the season to achieve that, playoff form

We managed it last season. I hope we can finish on 60 again but I've said 55. Our next 2 games are Hatelepool A and York H. We also still have Tranmere, Cambridge and Accrington to play. Southend, Shrewsbury and Plymouth will more than likely all end in defeats though.

 

[Stoney]

60 points? You'll have had a very good end to the season to achieve that, playoff form

60 maybe a bit ambitious but I believe we can beat anybody at home recently after we've beat yourselves, Luton, Stevenage and should've beat Northampton bar a last minute penalty.

I think we will pick up another 7 points at least from home games which would take us to 52 points with 5 away games. Pretty confident we will finish between 55-60 points.