Jemfy
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Better late than never?... Last year was a monumental effort that I really enjoyed so I am sad I didn't have the time this year. Hopefully I'll give it a go again next year - see how things pan out. I'll keep this as brief as possible. A quick roundup of the state of each division followed by a couple of useful resource links that fans around the lower divisions are probably already aware of.
Step 1 is the conference premier (or whatever tinpot name you call it now) - it's well enough covered by the majority of posters on this forum, so I see no need to delve in.
Steps 2-4 Promotion and playoffs:
For all step 2-4 leagues below there are 2 up from each division, with champions and then a 4-team playoff system. Playoffs are single leg hosted at the higher placed team's ground meaning a team in 2nd just has to win 2 home games to get promoted.
Relegation from these divisions is more complicated, with 3 going down from each step 2 division, 4 from each step 3 division, then 2 from the step 4 divisions with 22 teams (Northern and Southern league) and 3 from those with 24 teams (Isthmian) for the complicated step 4/5 borderline between 6 step 4 divisions and 14 step 5's (plus then complications with reprieves and non-promotions etc). For now I will deal with the relegation issues as if there will be no reprieves.
Step 2 - Conference North
Promotion is has been pretty much sealed for Solihull Moors, the Moors have a healthy lead with 2 games to go for most teams - an unassailable 11 point lead. Playoffs are secured for North Ferriby and AFC Fylde. Sitting in 6th just outside the playoffs are Nuneaton who have a game in hand on the rest - more importantly however is that they face a trip to 5th placed Boston United on Saturday with a point separating the two. Strangely anything but a Boston win will confirm 4th placed Harrogate Town's playoff spot regardless of their own result, though if they can get a win a t Fylde then they are sorted. A Boston win doesn't confirm their spot in the playoffs due to that game in hand.
At the bottom end of the table relegation has been on the cards for bottom club Corby Town for a while, a mid-season revival gave them hope but they are now down, as are 21st placed Hednesford. Brackley can still climb out of the last remaining relegation spot and put a few different clubs in danger, but having occupied the relegation spots for most of the season they may be a cautionary tale about cup runs over league form.
Step 2 - Conference South
The title is still on the line - just about, with Sutton United leading the way. Ebbsfleet in 2nd could still grab it out of their hands, but they need Sutton to lose twice while Ebbsfleet have to win their only remaining game. Maidstone in 3rd can't catch Sutton but could steal 2nd for home playoffs all the way should they make it past the semi-final stage which they are currently guaranteed to be in. Truro and Hemel Hempstead take up the final playoff spots right now, but it's 2 from 5 for those with with Maidenhead, Dartford and Whitehawk chasing.
Basingstoke - who have just made announcements about going full time next season will be doing so at step 3, probably in the Southern League. Currently they look to be joined in relegation by Havant & Waterlooville and Hayes & Yeading implying it's a bad year to have an "&" in your name... (*whistles*). Both can get out of it in theory, with 15th placed Eastbourne being the highest club in anything close to real danger, theoretically 14th placed Wealdstone could go down on 49 points but it would require an exact set of results for almost all of the clubs below them over the remaining games. So exact that I expected fixtures would make it impossible, but so far as I can see they do not right now.
Step 3 & 4 - general note
Unless otherwise stated all step 3 and 4 leagues are entering the final weekend with just a single game remaining for all teams
Step 3 - Isthmian League Premier Division (ILPD)
While not over yet, Hampton & Richmond look to have the title all but won requiring just a point given their 3pt lead over Bognor Regis. Enfield have to travel to Hampton & Richmond requiring a win for a hope of a playoff spot with Dulwich Hamlet the only team that can fall out of the top 5. East Thurrock and Tonbridge Angels have been confirmed.
With 4 teams going down it's one of Needham Market (48), Farnborough (50), Burgess Hill (48 with 2 to play) or Hendon (48 with 2 to play) to join the three that are already down - Brentwood, Lewes and VCD Athletic. It is in fact Needham who play Dulwich meaning a lot on the line in that particular game, while tonight (Wednesday) Burgess Hill and Hendon face off in the game in hand, meaning the winner is safe, a draw would mean both going in to the final day needing either a result or Needham to fail to win.
Step 3 - Northern Premier League Premier Division (NPLPD)
The title is Darlington's to lose with a 2 point lead and a game in hand either a single win or two draws will see them as champions no matter what happens with Blyth, it becomes increasingly likely that Darlo will seal it when you consider the last two games age against sides with nothing to play for. That would mean playoffs with Blyth guaranteed the 2nd placed set of purely home games, and Salford the last team guaranteed playoffs. The final spots will be 2 from 3 of Ashton United, Stourbridge and Workington, with the first two equal on points and Workington trailing by 1. Stourbridge have a game in hand to be played Thursday at Frickley who are currently in 7th but 9pts behind Workington.
Relegation almost completely sealed with Stamford likely to join Hyde United, Colwyn Bay and Ramsbottom United. Stamford require a win and a GD swing of 6 poins against Mickleover Sports. It could all be over tonight should Mickleover get anything from their game in hand vs at Nantwich.
Step 3 - Southern League Premier Division (SLPD)
The tile has been won and Poole have been crowned as champions. Playoffs are pretty clear too with Hungerford and Hitching already preparing and Leamington and Redditch sitting on the exact maximum points of both Weymouth and Kettering. The latter need to win two games and hope that either Leamington lose on the final day or Redditch lose both tonight and on the final day as well as suffering a big GD dent as their +41 has them all but confirmed for a playoff place.
It's all over at the wrong end of the table with only pride or potential reprieves to play for. Bedworth United occupy the prime spot to stay up on a technicality, with Histon, Bideford and Paulton Rovers also down.
Step 4 - Isthmian League Division 1 North
Clear runaway winner AFC Sudbury are up with 105 points from 45 games to date. Impressive. Thurrock and Harlow will enjoy home playoff semi-finals against Cray and Hornchurch who are sealed as 4th and 5th respectively. Thurrock and Harlow are currently separated by GD, and just 1pt at that, so they are playing for which of two known opponents and a potential home final, with Thurrock likely to take the 2nd spot due to Harlow playing away at the champions.
3 down from this division, with Redbridge emulating their more illustrious neighbours and Barkingside also already down. Waltham Abbey occupy the last relegation spot, but with superior GD they can catch either Wroxham or Heybridge Swifts on the final day with a win. Heybridge would need to lose, or Wroxham fail to win. Waltham Abbey have the joy of playing bottom side Redbridge, who might be able to bring them down together, or gift them survival.
Step 4 - Isthmian League Division 1 South
Folkstone Invicta have done an even better job of running away with the ILD1S title with 108 points from their 44 games to date! Dorking are all but confirmed as 2nd with a huge GD swing on the final day needed to lose that spot to 3rd placed Hythe. Worthing could take 3rd but won't drop out of the playoffs, with the final spot coming from either Corinthian Casuals, Hastings United or Faversham Town, with 2 points separating the three teams.
The bottom 3 are all relegated, with Walton & Hersham being another team with an "&" to change division, although with the potential to be saved, Peacehaven & Telscombe join the club, and Whitstable take the bottom spot - perhaps as the division has no more clubs with an "&" to relegate.
Step 4 - Northern Premier League Division 1 North
Another runaway winner this time Warrington Town break the 100 mark with 103 from their 41 games to date. Spennymoor, Northwich Victoria, Glossop North End and Burscough make up the playoff spots and can't be shifted out. Spennymoor have secured 2nd while the others can be moved around based on final day results.
Harrogate Railway and New Mills get relegated, the latter just avoided the drop last year on a reprieve IIRC, this year they go down as the bottom side with just 3 points and an impressive -128 GD so I can't see them getting a reprieve at all this time!
Step 4 - Northern Premier League Division 1 South
Stafford Rangers lead the league with 94 points but Shaw Lane Aquaforce can still have a final shot on the last day at taking the title and automatic promotion. Coleville, Basford and Lincoln United should make up the playoffs in that order, with potential for the last two to swap on the last day.
Tividale are the only team relegated on points so far, but the 2nd bottom team is Daventry who I believe have already tendered their resignation from the league and will be automatically awarded bottom spot as a result. Daventry could theoretically take 20th spot and stay up on points at the expense of Loughborough Dynamo, though the resignation would make it moot as Dynamo would be 20th in the final table either way if it stands.
Step 4 - Southern League Division 1 Central
Finally the division I know most about! Champions are still to be decided with Egham still able to take it on the final day. Royston need a win tomorrow night to give themselves a chance of joining Egham on 82 points. Royston play Egham on the final day in a showdown that might just be deciding playoff order if current leaders Kings Langley take a win. Should they draw and one of the other teams win then GD would favour the winner of Egham and Royston. St Ives and AFC Rushden & Diamonds are confirmed for playoff spots and away ties in the semi-finals at least. Neither could catch Royston in 3rd but Diamonds could take 4th for the theoretically easier semi-final - though with St Ives playing bottom side North Greenford a hammering is likely in order.
The first relegation was finally confirmed with North Greenford United taking the drop. Leighton Town occupy the other relegation position, but Hanwell are in danger of swapping in when both teams play on Thursday, Leighton having the advantage of playing the only team below them in the table.
Step 4 - Southern League Division 1 South & West
Cinderford Town will be plying their trade in the Southern Premier next season, with the playoffs made up of Banbury, Taunton, Swindon Supermarine and Winchester City. Evesham could theoretically take that last spot from Winchester, but they would have to lose both their remaining games while Evesham win their final match.
Burnahm and Bashley are relegated, with Bashley embarrassing themselves even more than New Mills above with just 2 points and -185 GD.
So that wraps up steps 2-4 based on no reprieves etc. This is clearly unlikely, and I believe a few are already set to happen. I'll add another post with step 4 reprieves and step 5 promotion standings shortly. I'll also explain the weirdness that is step 5 promotions and how reprieves are decided.
Step 1 is the conference premier (or whatever tinpot name you call it now) - it's well enough covered by the majority of posters on this forum, so I see no need to delve in.
Steps 2-4 Promotion and playoffs:
For all step 2-4 leagues below there are 2 up from each division, with champions and then a 4-team playoff system. Playoffs are single leg hosted at the higher placed team's ground meaning a team in 2nd just has to win 2 home games to get promoted.
Relegation from these divisions is more complicated, with 3 going down from each step 2 division, 4 from each step 3 division, then 2 from the step 4 divisions with 22 teams (Northern and Southern league) and 3 from those with 24 teams (Isthmian) for the complicated step 4/5 borderline between 6 step 4 divisions and 14 step 5's (plus then complications with reprieves and non-promotions etc). For now I will deal with the relegation issues as if there will be no reprieves.
Step 2 - Conference North
Promotion is has been pretty much sealed for Solihull Moors, the Moors have a healthy lead with 2 games to go for most teams - an unassailable 11 point lead. Playoffs are secured for North Ferriby and AFC Fylde. Sitting in 6th just outside the playoffs are Nuneaton who have a game in hand on the rest - more importantly however is that they face a trip to 5th placed Boston United on Saturday with a point separating the two. Strangely anything but a Boston win will confirm 4th placed Harrogate Town's playoff spot regardless of their own result, though if they can get a win a t Fylde then they are sorted. A Boston win doesn't confirm their spot in the playoffs due to that game in hand.
At the bottom end of the table relegation has been on the cards for bottom club Corby Town for a while, a mid-season revival gave them hope but they are now down, as are 21st placed Hednesford. Brackley can still climb out of the last remaining relegation spot and put a few different clubs in danger, but having occupied the relegation spots for most of the season they may be a cautionary tale about cup runs over league form.
Step 2 - Conference South
The title is still on the line - just about, with Sutton United leading the way. Ebbsfleet in 2nd could still grab it out of their hands, but they need Sutton to lose twice while Ebbsfleet have to win their only remaining game. Maidstone in 3rd can't catch Sutton but could steal 2nd for home playoffs all the way should they make it past the semi-final stage which they are currently guaranteed to be in. Truro and Hemel Hempstead take up the final playoff spots right now, but it's 2 from 5 for those with with Maidenhead, Dartford and Whitehawk chasing.
Basingstoke - who have just made announcements about going full time next season will be doing so at step 3, probably in the Southern League. Currently they look to be joined in relegation by Havant & Waterlooville and Hayes & Yeading implying it's a bad year to have an "&" in your name... (*whistles*). Both can get out of it in theory, with 15th placed Eastbourne being the highest club in anything close to real danger, theoretically 14th placed Wealdstone could go down on 49 points but it would require an exact set of results for almost all of the clubs below them over the remaining games. So exact that I expected fixtures would make it impossible, but so far as I can see they do not right now.
Step 3 & 4 - general note
Unless otherwise stated all step 3 and 4 leagues are entering the final weekend with just a single game remaining for all teams
Step 3 - Isthmian League Premier Division (ILPD)
While not over yet, Hampton & Richmond look to have the title all but won requiring just a point given their 3pt lead over Bognor Regis. Enfield have to travel to Hampton & Richmond requiring a win for a hope of a playoff spot with Dulwich Hamlet the only team that can fall out of the top 5. East Thurrock and Tonbridge Angels have been confirmed.
With 4 teams going down it's one of Needham Market (48), Farnborough (50), Burgess Hill (48 with 2 to play) or Hendon (48 with 2 to play) to join the three that are already down - Brentwood, Lewes and VCD Athletic. It is in fact Needham who play Dulwich meaning a lot on the line in that particular game, while tonight (Wednesday) Burgess Hill and Hendon face off in the game in hand, meaning the winner is safe, a draw would mean both going in to the final day needing either a result or Needham to fail to win.
Step 3 - Northern Premier League Premier Division (NPLPD)
The title is Darlington's to lose with a 2 point lead and a game in hand either a single win or two draws will see them as champions no matter what happens with Blyth, it becomes increasingly likely that Darlo will seal it when you consider the last two games age against sides with nothing to play for. That would mean playoffs with Blyth guaranteed the 2nd placed set of purely home games, and Salford the last team guaranteed playoffs. The final spots will be 2 from 3 of Ashton United, Stourbridge and Workington, with the first two equal on points and Workington trailing by 1. Stourbridge have a game in hand to be played Thursday at Frickley who are currently in 7th but 9pts behind Workington.
Relegation almost completely sealed with Stamford likely to join Hyde United, Colwyn Bay and Ramsbottom United. Stamford require a win and a GD swing of 6 poins against Mickleover Sports. It could all be over tonight should Mickleover get anything from their game in hand vs at Nantwich.
Step 3 - Southern League Premier Division (SLPD)
The tile has been won and Poole have been crowned as champions. Playoffs are pretty clear too with Hungerford and Hitching already preparing and Leamington and Redditch sitting on the exact maximum points of both Weymouth and Kettering. The latter need to win two games and hope that either Leamington lose on the final day or Redditch lose both tonight and on the final day as well as suffering a big GD dent as their +41 has them all but confirmed for a playoff place.
It's all over at the wrong end of the table with only pride or potential reprieves to play for. Bedworth United occupy the prime spot to stay up on a technicality, with Histon, Bideford and Paulton Rovers also down.
Step 4 - Isthmian League Division 1 North
Clear runaway winner AFC Sudbury are up with 105 points from 45 games to date. Impressive. Thurrock and Harlow will enjoy home playoff semi-finals against Cray and Hornchurch who are sealed as 4th and 5th respectively. Thurrock and Harlow are currently separated by GD, and just 1pt at that, so they are playing for which of two known opponents and a potential home final, with Thurrock likely to take the 2nd spot due to Harlow playing away at the champions.
3 down from this division, with Redbridge emulating their more illustrious neighbours and Barkingside also already down. Waltham Abbey occupy the last relegation spot, but with superior GD they can catch either Wroxham or Heybridge Swifts on the final day with a win. Heybridge would need to lose, or Wroxham fail to win. Waltham Abbey have the joy of playing bottom side Redbridge, who might be able to bring them down together, or gift them survival.
Step 4 - Isthmian League Division 1 South
Folkstone Invicta have done an even better job of running away with the ILD1S title with 108 points from their 44 games to date! Dorking are all but confirmed as 2nd with a huge GD swing on the final day needed to lose that spot to 3rd placed Hythe. Worthing could take 3rd but won't drop out of the playoffs, with the final spot coming from either Corinthian Casuals, Hastings United or Faversham Town, with 2 points separating the three teams.
The bottom 3 are all relegated, with Walton & Hersham being another team with an "&" to change division, although with the potential to be saved, Peacehaven & Telscombe join the club, and Whitstable take the bottom spot - perhaps as the division has no more clubs with an "&" to relegate.
Step 4 - Northern Premier League Division 1 North
Another runaway winner this time Warrington Town break the 100 mark with 103 from their 41 games to date. Spennymoor, Northwich Victoria, Glossop North End and Burscough make up the playoff spots and can't be shifted out. Spennymoor have secured 2nd while the others can be moved around based on final day results.
Harrogate Railway and New Mills get relegated, the latter just avoided the drop last year on a reprieve IIRC, this year they go down as the bottom side with just 3 points and an impressive -128 GD so I can't see them getting a reprieve at all this time!
Step 4 - Northern Premier League Division 1 South
Stafford Rangers lead the league with 94 points but Shaw Lane Aquaforce can still have a final shot on the last day at taking the title and automatic promotion. Coleville, Basford and Lincoln United should make up the playoffs in that order, with potential for the last two to swap on the last day.
Tividale are the only team relegated on points so far, but the 2nd bottom team is Daventry who I believe have already tendered their resignation from the league and will be automatically awarded bottom spot as a result. Daventry could theoretically take 20th spot and stay up on points at the expense of Loughborough Dynamo, though the resignation would make it moot as Dynamo would be 20th in the final table either way if it stands.
Step 4 - Southern League Division 1 Central
Finally the division I know most about! Champions are still to be decided with Egham still able to take it on the final day. Royston need a win tomorrow night to give themselves a chance of joining Egham on 82 points. Royston play Egham on the final day in a showdown that might just be deciding playoff order if current leaders Kings Langley take a win. Should they draw and one of the other teams win then GD would favour the winner of Egham and Royston. St Ives and AFC Rushden & Diamonds are confirmed for playoff spots and away ties in the semi-finals at least. Neither could catch Royston in 3rd but Diamonds could take 4th for the theoretically easier semi-final - though with St Ives playing bottom side North Greenford a hammering is likely in order.
The first relegation was finally confirmed with North Greenford United taking the drop. Leighton Town occupy the other relegation position, but Hanwell are in danger of swapping in when both teams play on Thursday, Leighton having the advantage of playing the only team below them in the table.
Step 4 - Southern League Division 1 South & West
Cinderford Town will be plying their trade in the Southern Premier next season, with the playoffs made up of Banbury, Taunton, Swindon Supermarine and Winchester City. Evesham could theoretically take that last spot from Winchester, but they would have to lose both their remaining games while Evesham win their final match.
Burnahm and Bashley are relegated, with Bashley embarrassing themselves even more than New Mills above with just 2 points and -185 GD.
So that wraps up steps 2-4 based on no reprieves etc. This is clearly unlikely, and I believe a few are already set to happen. I'll add another post with step 4 reprieves and step 5 promotion standings shortly. I'll also explain the weirdness that is step 5 promotions and how reprieves are decided.