shoddycollins
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I was thinking about this last season and the fact I'm still thinking about it this season makes me think I might have a point.
The geographic balance of football is changing.
In League Two right now you have the top four made up of three south western teams (Cheltenham, Exeter and FGR) and also Newport who I'll include with the South West for the purposes of this as they are very close to it (call it South West England and South East Wales). These teams were all in the mix last season two while another south western team in Swindon won the title and Plymouth got automatic promotion.
Not everything is rosy for the South West mind, as Bournemouth were relegated from the Prem and Bristol City and Bristol Rovers finished mid table in the Championship and L1 respectively but even these three teams have had more promotions than relegations of late and may all feel they are enjoying a good spell and this is more about teams climbing out of the basement and improving their stature long-term the South West is doing well in this regard.
This season so far, of the eight automatic promotion places in the top five divisions, over half (five) are occupied by South Western teams (inc. Newport) while FGR are just outside the automatics. Even the National League North currently has a South Western team at the top (Gloucester).
Now, when you look at the teams that have been struggling this past few years, especially those who are being mismanaged or were being mismanaged until recently, and whose future is under threat, you see a lot of north western teams. Bolton, Bury, Macclesfield, Blackpool, Oldham, Wigan in particular but also the likes of Northwich Victoria being a historic club now defunct. There are a lot of north western teams compared to teams from other areas among the so called 'fallen giants' teams who historically were much bigger than the level they currently compete at. Bolton, Stockport, Chester, and Wrexham (just like Newport has a lot of connections with South West England, so Wrexham does with North West England).
Again this is not a blanket thing, indeed north western teams are still among the strongest in the Premier League but the number of north western teams in the top two divisions seems to be falling.
My thoughts are, that the North West was historically the heartland of football, there was a time when almost all the professional clubs in existence were from there (or just outside it, such as Stoke). However this has left the North West over-represented in terms of professional football clubs, many of these clubs date back to when the North West was the industrial powerhouse of the UK and relied on a large working class population to attend but the population has been declining and also changing in socio-economic status and this has been accompanied by falling attendances. Demographic changes mean these clubs are fighting for a slice of a shrinking pie and are more vulnerable to financial mismanagement. This is made even harder by the legacy of the North West's importance to football meaning many of the UK's biggest teams are from there.
In contrast, the South West is a growing market for football. There are no superclubs hoovering up all the support and the clubs in the South West still have a lot of untapped potential. The population is growing and is also a bit wealthier than in the North West, the main competition is Rugby Union and clubs like Cheltenham, FGR and Exeter have been steadily drawing fans in from the Rugby. Most of the clubs are well run because they represent a good business opportunity and aren't just attractive to asset strippers or charlatans. The South West isn't doing too well in League One at the moment but give it time and I think we'll start to see a strongly south western oriented League One and a number of clubs progressing from there to become Championship fixtures, while north western clubs playing below their historic level will become an ever increaing feature of League Two and the National League.
The geographic balance of football is changing.
In League Two right now you have the top four made up of three south western teams (Cheltenham, Exeter and FGR) and also Newport who I'll include with the South West for the purposes of this as they are very close to it (call it South West England and South East Wales). These teams were all in the mix last season two while another south western team in Swindon won the title and Plymouth got automatic promotion.
Not everything is rosy for the South West mind, as Bournemouth were relegated from the Prem and Bristol City and Bristol Rovers finished mid table in the Championship and L1 respectively but even these three teams have had more promotions than relegations of late and may all feel they are enjoying a good spell and this is more about teams climbing out of the basement and improving their stature long-term the South West is doing well in this regard.
This season so far, of the eight automatic promotion places in the top five divisions, over half (five) are occupied by South Western teams (inc. Newport) while FGR are just outside the automatics. Even the National League North currently has a South Western team at the top (Gloucester).
Now, when you look at the teams that have been struggling this past few years, especially those who are being mismanaged or were being mismanaged until recently, and whose future is under threat, you see a lot of north western teams. Bolton, Bury, Macclesfield, Blackpool, Oldham, Wigan in particular but also the likes of Northwich Victoria being a historic club now defunct. There are a lot of north western teams compared to teams from other areas among the so called 'fallen giants' teams who historically were much bigger than the level they currently compete at. Bolton, Stockport, Chester, and Wrexham (just like Newport has a lot of connections with South West England, so Wrexham does with North West England).
Again this is not a blanket thing, indeed north western teams are still among the strongest in the Premier League but the number of north western teams in the top two divisions seems to be falling.
My thoughts are, that the North West was historically the heartland of football, there was a time when almost all the professional clubs in existence were from there (or just outside it, such as Stoke). However this has left the North West over-represented in terms of professional football clubs, many of these clubs date back to when the North West was the industrial powerhouse of the UK and relied on a large working class population to attend but the population has been declining and also changing in socio-economic status and this has been accompanied by falling attendances. Demographic changes mean these clubs are fighting for a slice of a shrinking pie and are more vulnerable to financial mismanagement. This is made even harder by the legacy of the North West's importance to football meaning many of the UK's biggest teams are from there.
In contrast, the South West is a growing market for football. There are no superclubs hoovering up all the support and the clubs in the South West still have a lot of untapped potential. The population is growing and is also a bit wealthier than in the North West, the main competition is Rugby Union and clubs like Cheltenham, FGR and Exeter have been steadily drawing fans in from the Rugby. Most of the clubs are well run because they represent a good business opportunity and aren't just attractive to asset strippers or charlatans. The South West isn't doing too well in League One at the moment but give it time and I think we'll start to see a strongly south western oriented League One and a number of clubs progressing from there to become Championship fixtures, while north western clubs playing below their historic level will become an ever increaing feature of League Two and the National League.