The Relegation Thread

[valefan16]

I thought Accrington were dreadful when we played them but mk dons take the title, absolutely zero fight in any of them. Bearing in mind that we have been on a poor run too.

Morecambe I think will do enough because they're fairly good at home. Cambridge look like they've been pretty dreadful all season and don’t look like turning it around. FGR already gone for me.

I think Cheltenham should have enough although we played them off the park in both games, yet didn't win either! Oxford look to be sinking fast but you can see them picking up a few wins here and there.

I think the current bottom 3 plus one of Accy or Morecambe will finally drop.

Accrington have the games in hand but their run in is pretty horrific.

 

[Si Robin]

I thought Accrington were dreadful when we played them but mk dons take the title, absolutely zero fight in any of them. Bearing in mind that we have been on a poor run too.

Morecambe I think will do enough because they're fairly good at home. Cambridge look like they've been pretty dreadful all season and don’t look like turning it around. FGR already gone for me.

I think Cheltenham should have enough although we played them off the park in both games, yet didn't win either! Oxford look to be sinking fast but you can see them picking up a few wins here and there.

I think the current bottom 3 plus one of Accy or Morecambe will finally drop.

I can't comment on the Vale Park game, but even though Vale were better than us at Whaddon Road, playing us off the park is somewhat an exaggeration. 2 more shots and 1 more on target. 10% more possession, but it's hard to say you did anything with it.

As for Cheltenham potentially sending FGR down, what's more likely to happen is that FGR will beat us at Whaddon Road and still go down because they'll be dependant on other results.

 

[YEO YEO YEO]

A few calculations, I know it's not as easy as that, but:

Safety based on season form: 44 points
Safety based on last 6 form: 38 points
Safety based on last 10 form: 41 points

Shows how poor the bottom sides have been recently.

EDIT - Also doesn't factor in bottom sides playing each other in the run in.

 

[Laker]

Yeah I’m going for 40 for safety. We’re all so poor, I can only see any of us picking up points when we play each other.

 

[Luke Imp]

Is there a special thread for teams so shit that it’s barely even March and they’re already out of the ‘relegation battle’?

I think Crewe and Doncaster had one between them last season (albeit the latter picked up towards the back end of it)!

 

[Chris FGR]

Yeah I’m going for 40 for safety. We’re all so poor, I can only see any of us picking up points when we play each other.

I agree, the standard of the bottom 7 or 8 is awful, worse then I expected tbh.

 

[thewwfc]

Let's see if Manning can turn Oxford's fortunes around. No shame to lose to a strong Derby side today, but they have two massive relegation six-pointers on the bounce coming up v Morecambe and Chelts.

 

[kieran_vale]

Probably it for Cambridge now you’d think. Reckon it will be Accy or Morecambe for the last spot.

 

[thewwfc]

well...Oxford's run-in does them very few favours...could be proper brown trousers on the final day!

Sat 18 Mar A Morecambe
Sat 25 Mar H Cheltenham Town
Sat 1 Apr A Peterborough United
Fri 7 Apr H Sheffield Wednesday
Mon 10 Apr A Port Vale
Sat 15 Apr H Bolton Wanderers
Tue 18 Apr H Portsmouth
Sat 22 Apr A Barnsley
Sat 29 Apr A Forest Green Rovers
Sun 7 May H Accrington Stanley

 

[Bobbin']

Two big away games coming up for us, Morecambe and Cambridge.

Two poor results and we’re bang in this.

 

[kieran_vale]

well...Oxford's run-in does them very few favours...could be proper brown trousers on the final day!

Sat 18 Mar A Morecambe
Sat 25 Mar H Cheltenham Town
Sat 1 Apr A Peterborough United
Fri 7 Apr H Sheffield Wednesday
Mon 10 Apr A Port Vale
Sat 15 Apr H Bolton Wanderers
Tue 18 Apr H Portsmouth
Sat 22 Apr A Barnsley
Sat 29 Apr A Forest Green Rovers
Sun 7 May H Accrington Stanley

If they don’t win one of the next two then it’s a live shot you’d think. Outside of that I’m expecting three points at FGR and given both ourselves and Portsmouth will be well on the beach and probably experimenting with lineups by then there’s points to be had there. I think that gives them the pathway to the 44 they will need to survive.

 

[valefan16]

If they don’t win one of the next two then it’s a live shot you’d think. Outside of that I’m expecting three points at FGR and given both ourselves and Portsmouth will be well on the beach and probably experimenting with lineups by then there’s points to be had there. I think that gives them the pathway to the 44 they will need to survive.

I think one more win does it for us to be safe.

That would ask Morecambe and MK to win half their games.

 

[Luke Imp]

Big win for MK yesterday. And for Burton and Cheltenham but they've both still work to do.

With Accrington's two games in hand, Cambridge will probably be looking at Oxford and needing 3 wins just to catch the pack up.

 

[YEO YEO YEO]

it's as you were tonight. Expected Morecambe to put up a fight, but they looked poor. Accy went down to 10 men early, and Peterborough too much for Burton!

Doesn't seem anyone wants to pull away from the drop. Oxford despite not winning in a few years are still above the drop zone!

 

[valefan16]

it's as you were tonight. Expected Morecambe to put up a fight, but they looked poor. Accy went down to 10 men early, and Peterborough too much for Burton!

Doesn't seem anyone wants to pull away from the drop. Oxford despite not winning in a few years are still above the drop zone!

Looking at it now I think FGR, Cambridge and Morecambe are gone plus 1 other.

MK have the favourable run in, Oxford have the dire nose diving form and Accrington have blown games in hand (think their other is Argyle as well) so 1 of them three.

Probably lean towards Stanley at the moment.

 

[Laker]

The bottom of the table is so poor, we’re all dreadful.

 

[thewwfc]

I think we all know what we want to see here, right?

Oxford v Accy on the final day to become the ultimate brown trousers relegation classic.

 

[bigfatron]

What we want is three points from the final match against FGR sealing Cambridge’s 2023 great escape!

Can’t see it personally, but (slightly) stranger things have happened…

 

[Essex2Wessex]

"We'll all go down together when we go" is my view of our visit to the Abbey, but we'll see....

 

[Luke Imp]

Slipped down from 43 to 42 points for survival now.

Morecambe vs Oxford and Accrington vs MK at the weekend are biggies.

 

[valefan16]

Slipped down from 43 to 42 points for survival now.

Morecambe vs Oxford and Accrington vs MK at the weekend are biggies.

Oxford and Accrington wins probably seals the bottom 4.

 

[Chris FGR]

What we want is three points from the final match against FGR sealing Cambridge’s 2023 great escape!

Can’t see it personally, but (slightly) stranger things have happened…

You should beat us, but reckon it might be too late by then looking at your form.

Don’t think I’ve ever been to a game where both teams are already relegated before kick off.

 

[Greenacres]

You should beat us, but reckon it might be too late by then looking at your form.

Don’t think I’ve ever been to a game where both teams are already relegated before kick off.

I was at the Tamworth game where, from memory, a victory by either side would send the other down unless the rest of the results featuring teams near the bottom ended in a really specific way...which would mean both teams stayed up...but Tamworth needed to win to stand any chance of staying up. Guess what, we lost to Tamworth and with seconds remaining were going to be relegated...until, I think Eastbourne conceded (or maybe scored), and we stayed up.

Bear in mind that this was the season after the Grays debacle, where we were relegated but later reprieved when Salisbury were booted out of the Conference.

I am resigned to relegation already, if truth be known I have been for some time, but at least this season I know that our problems are a result of us being completely out of our depth...rather than anything more sinister!

 

[leedsvaliant]

I was at the Tamworth game where, from memory, a victory by either side would send the other down unless the rest of the results featuring teams near the bottom ended in a really specific way...which would mean both teams stayed up...but Tamworth needed to win to stand any chance of staying up. Guess what, we lost to Tamworth and with seconds remaining were going to be relegated...until, I think Eastbourne conceded (or maybe scored), and we stayed up.

Bear in mind that this was the season after the Grays debacle, where we were relegated but later reprieved when Salisbury were booted out of the Conference.

I am resigned to relegation already, if truth be known I have been for some time, but at least this season I know that our problems are a result of us being completely out of our depth...rather than anything more sinister!

I think the writing was on the wall after the second half of last season. After a storming start you kind of limped over the line and then your two massively in form strikers got injured and then lost that momentum on their return. Plus you got rid of some of your better players and replaced them with not so good in a higher league...it was never going to end well.

 

[Greenacres]

I think the writing was on the wall after the second half of last season. After a storming start you kind of limped over the line and then your two massively in form strikers got injured and then lost that momentum on their return. Plus you got rid of some of your better players and replaced them with not so good in a higher league...it was never going to end well.

Sadly that pretty much sums the situation up perfectly...add to that the fact that our dealings in the January transfer window have, according to the opinion of many, actually made us weaker.

If the club don't learn from what has happened this season, to make sure we don't do a repeat if we get promoted again, then that is our fault. The experience on and off the pitch this season hasn't been the best, but a season of consolidation in League Two might not be the worst outcome for all concerned...at least we might get some sort of a feel good factor running around the place again.

 

[Laker]

I was at the Tamworth game where, from memory, a victory by either side would send the other down unless the rest of the results featuring teams near the bottom ended in a really specific way...which would mean both teams stayed up...but Tamworth needed to win to stand any chance of staying up. Guess what, we lost to Tamworth and with seconds remaining were going to be relegated...until, I think Eastbourne conceded (or maybe scored), and we stayed up.

Bear in mind that this was the season after the Grays debacle, where we were relegated but later reprieved when Salisbury were booted out of the Conference.

I am resigned to relegation already, if truth be known I have been for some time, but at least this season I know that our problems are a result of us being completely out of our depth...rather than anything more sinister!

Yeah, I remember Forest Green’s annual flirts with relegation from the conference, staying up due to the financial misdemeanours of others. “Unfortunately” (fortunately obviously), no AGM cup to save us both this season. We’ll both be down in around a month’s time. In fact the scum might be the ones to relegate us which would be horrid.

 

[Bartonyellow]

Tamworth. Bunch of wankers.
Did you know their game was abandoned 2 weeks ago for crowd trouble ? Local derby with Nuneaton. Also fighting with themselves as they could not get to the Nuneaton fans.
Knuckle draggers.

 

[denzel ecfc]

I was at the Tamworth game where, from memory, a victory by either side would send the other down unless the rest of the results featuring teams near the bottom ended in a really specific way...which would mean both teams stayed up...but Tamworth needed to win to stand any chance of staying up. Guess what, we lost to Tamworth and with seconds remaining were going to be relegated...until, I think Eastbourne conceded (or maybe scored), and we stayed up.

Bear in mind that this was the season after the Grays debacle, where we were relegated but later reprieved when Salisbury were booted out of the Conference.

I am resigned to relegation already, if truth be known I have been for some time, but at least this season I know that our problems are a result of us being completely out of our depth...rather than anything more sinister!

You need to get Colin Peake back quick! You always seemed to stay up when Colin was in charge...

 

[Greenacres]

I wonder what the earliest is that a team has been relegated, that is to say how many games before the end of the season.

We have a horifically difficult next half dozen games, against teams competing for promotion and the play-offs, starting tomorrow at Plymouth...even if the last four are against teams in a similar boat to us (but at least having an oar in their hand and a way to get out of their situation, rather than relying on the ineptitude of others), we could be gone by then as we are currently thirteen points from safety. At best we could be relegted after one of the home games, against Barnsley or Fleetwood, if we last that long.

Jeez, sometimes I just hate football.

 

[bigfatron]

We are definitely gone - not only are we really struggling, but our luck is totally out. First goal today was clearly offside, their second was a carbon copy of the one we scored but was disallowed last week at MK Dons, but was (rightly) allowed - that’s two points the officials have cost us in the last two games, and we are not good enough to overcome that sort of handicap…